Showing posts with label English (engelsk). Show all posts
Showing posts with label English (engelsk). Show all posts

Wednesday, November 07, 2012

Dear President Barack Obama

"Congratulations to winning the election. I am sure You will do your best continuing to advocate social progress in the United States of America, and best of luck with it. 
However, the total public debt of your country lies at over US$16 trillion* - a colossal sum! The truth behind all those numbers implies the spending of funds the United States in fact does not have, and it involves indebting future generations rather than living within your means. That is not very socially responsible, is it? 
Your aims are set high, and that is honorable. But politics must never be about what sounds good. A sober constitution is what has made America great and it is what will do so in the time to come.
Again, best of luck President. This was just a short but important reminder on this cheerful day, as the ones worst off are always those hit the hardest by long-term unrealistic economical policies."

It is important to keep in mind that there were candidates in the primaries devoted to actually balancing the budget, and had bold plans for doing so. Mitt Romney was not one of those.

U.S. National Debt Clock
U.S. Public debt on Wikipedia

* "Trillion" in short-scale English speaking countries is a 16 followed by 12 zeros (16 with the exponent 12).

Thursday, October 11, 2012

Extreme and radical

We live in exciting times when those politicians wanting to stop increasing debt and are demanding governments to live within their means are depicted as radicals and extremists. It may come as a surprise to some, but other countries do not stand in line to pay for our high standards of living. Exporting freshly printed money will not solve anything.

Tuesday, August 28, 2012

On the invalidity of Keynes today

Keynes may have had a few valuable ideas concerning the state acting as a stabilising factor in the economy between cycles of booms and recessions. However, what has happened since his theories were launched is that a rather profound dimension has emerged – a dimension that has managed to be ignored as the West still had quite a lot of competitive industry and still was seen as the king of the hill, and thus could build up debts in order to keep living on high standards of living.

That is no longer possible. As our productive part of the economy is diminishing when industry is moving to other parts of the planet, state revenue decreases. Rather than making the necessary structural reforms to make our part of the world less expensive (ie. living on less), in order to attract the production and refining back to the West, many argue the opposite policy – propping up the economy with more public funds (ie. living on what we do not have), in accordance with Keynesian theory. Furthermore, when the same people talk of an economy in balance they often refer to debt versus GDP. Here no distinguishment is made between publicly funded salaries, of which taxation means a few extra laps in the state budget – and non publicly funded salaries, of which taxation means real contribution to the revenue of the state. In conclusion a question lingers: Is it Keynes or having been spoilt that has made us blind to the very foundation of economy – income and expense?

For us who see parts of the publicly funded welfare state as good inventions, such naivety is sad. It hinders realistic politics and administration for preserving its important core, and it leaves an ever increasing bill for the future. “In the Long Run We Are All Dead” is not a very moral standpoint resting on the contract between generations, is it?

Sunday, August 26, 2012

On distinguishment and colonial fashion

A problem with much contemporary parlance is that it does not differentiate the usage of the word "capitalists" enough. On one hand we have entrepreneurs, industrialists and merchants and on another complacent economic elites watching each other's backs, demanding the central banks to print money in order to secure something not lasting. The former ones are much needed to create wealth, which is necessary if you want welfare. The latter ones are an obstacle for the creative destruction needed to maintain wealth, which is necessary if you want welfare.

Some hundred years ago people in our part of the world starved ever so often. During industrialisation we built up riches and today, when much of the industry has moved elsewhere, many argue the case that we could keep the wealth without devoting a thought to industrial work. Somehow we should spend our time being knowledge-intensive, let others toil and get away with it. The morale seems to have vanished with the affluence. What is more, at parts the analysis seems rather colonial to yours truly.

Tuesday, July 17, 2012

On the Crisis of the West III

The original post, On the Crisis of the West.
A hundred years ago public spending often took a tenth of the economy. These days it many times takes up more than half:


Monday, July 16, 2012

On the Crisis of the West II

The original post, On the Crisis of the West.
As an example, France has not balanced its books since 1974:

Tuesday, June 05, 2012

The Necessity of Manufacturing

I could not have said it better myself. Peter Schiff explains the necessity of manufacturing. First day at school, pay attention kids (5:13):

"If we ever are going to actually have a real recovery and not a stimulus-induced temporary high, it is going to have to be led by manufacturing. 
The problem is that manufacturing has declined so much because of government policy. We now have more people who work for government than who work in manufacturing. 
The reason we have been able to get away with this is because the world has taken the money we print in exchange for the stuff they produce. 
We run enormous trade deficits because the dollar is the reserve currency. But we have abused that privilige and we are going to lose it. 
When the dollar plunges, Americans are only going to be able to consume what we produce. Or if we want to import something we are going to have to export something of equal value, not just money. 
And then we are going to have to have a lot of manufacturing."

Basic knowledge really. It needs to be repeated with persistence though, as the West keeps adhering to ignorance. For a good enough future it is time to stop wishing and start producing.

Friday, May 25, 2012

Newfangled industry, no revolution

As global political power follow the means of production elsewhere, the publication I have been addicted to for an awfully long time serves us with an imaginative but oh so dewy-eyed analysis. Not good at all in my humble opinion, but too late to send it to the Letters to the editor by now.

SIR - In The Economist Special Report on the subject of the so called "third industrial revolution" (April 21st) an unpleasantly naïve perspective on matters was incurred upon the readers in a way I would not expect from Your pages. Any 10-year old with minor experience of working with materials understand what is necessary to make things durable, yet such familiarisation is perhaps just what contemporary urban dwellers are highly deficient of. Something 3D-printed may work for a plastic case, but not for an engine.
The leader on the same topic wrote of blurring lines between manufacturing and services in an equally theoretical way, disregarding fundamental knowledge of how things work (and what Rolls Royce produce). Furthermore is the clinging to manufacturing not romanticism as production and refining is what creates actual growth. Services and finance on a social theory & engineering level much less so. Such mild dumbness was not concealed by the obvious and much correct remark that government subsidies does not have any place in the equation.
Allowing "design" to be the new manufacturing and we might as well get rid of the idea of being industrious altogether. We will not receive the revenue needed for infrastructure by cutting each others hair. But then I will have to ride a carpented horse carriage if cars are to be printed anyhow.

Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Dear President François Hollande

"Regarding Your suggestions of how to create growth it is important to keep in mind that savings come first if You want to invest, and France has run with deficit since 1973. Not one year since then has Your country had government expenses and revenues in balance."

Tuesday, March 06, 2012

Beyond outsourcing

I have the past months been occupied with renovating our recently purchased home, moving into it and most importantly, been busy with paternity leave. Hence it has been less of time for political commenting. Despite having had my head into carpentry and other handicraft, the mind has gotten a decent dose of what it craves. Some time ago, included with an issue of The Economist, I received a copy of the Ernst & Young publication Performance Preview, and a title caught my attention: Why manufacturing matters.

The article refers to studies claiming that as production has been outsourced, a widening knowledge gap has emerged because Western companies have failed to recognise the symbiotic relationship between research & development and the manufacturing process. These are constantly evolving and are thus intertwined, which can make outsourcing cheaper in the short term, but is also a good way of teaching your competitors. A quote is highlighted:

"New studies suggest that the decision to outsource your manufacturing capability may permanently impair your ability to innovate."

D'oh! I told you so. That is simple logic for any thinking person, no studies were necessary if the ideas had been rationally contemplated in the first place. Social engineering is dumb and evil also when it is called economic theorising.

Not only does the revenues diminish as production and refining move elsewhere, making it harder to maintain balance of trade and have the state deliver the goods in those areas where it is supposed to. The shift of power, especially as the inner strength of those brought up pampered often tend to be impaired, will obviously follow the means of production eastbound (no worries, I just like to paraphrase Karl Marx every now and then, despite being something of a liberal conservative).

Hopefully this predicament of ours will call for economic realism where we finally return to calling a spade by no other name than a spade. When looking at the coverage of fiscally sober Ron Paul in the Republican Party presidential primaries on the other side of the Atlantic pond, it looks like we still have got a long way ahead of us. A head in the sand still seems like a valid option for oh too many.

Saturday, January 07, 2012

Pachelbel's Canon

San Francisco based music ensemble Voices of Music performs Johann Pachelbel's Canon in D with original instruments.

This one has been August's favoured piece of music during the year that just has passed.

Friday, December 09, 2011

Ferguson on Chinese banks

"Remember, they are not really banks in the sense we used to have them in this country. You know, private sector entities not dependent on the state. Chinese banks are now like banks in the west. Or rather, banks in the west are now like banks in China."

47.38 into this Chatham House lecture on his recent book Civilization: The West and the Rest. The wittiness of our time.

Monday, December 05, 2011

The Escapism of Contemporary Businessmen

The surroundings are shaking and the so called businessman in smart clothing is neither an industrialist nor an entrepreneur. He has no emotional bonds to this company and his long term perspectives are non-existent. Thus no need to ride out the storm. Instead run, gain momentum and jump to the next one.

The intricate multitude of values and social attachments are deconstructed into zeroes and ones which makes it is easy to fit into a theory suitable for internet based software. Thus are part of the essentials for building a civil society replaced by ignorance freed from requirement.

Meanwhile in a parallel part of the planet is an old home computer from the early 80s living through a renaissance of new crowd funded games. An illustrative example of both the topics in this blogpost is Canabalt. Some six weeks after he released his impressive conversion of Prince of Persia for the Commodore 64, Mr.SID came with his conversion of Canabalt for the same platform. Another version, entitled C64anabalt, was released by Paulko64 as part of the RGCD 16KB Cartridge Game Development Competition a week later. The purpose of the game is to get the constantly running businessman as far as possible and both adaptations provides an instant fix and attentional gameplay. It is shallow albeit most entertaining.

Market economy and an open society is dependent on a social fabric built from generations behind and cannot in any way rely solely on short term venture capital buildings. That is for instance why family owned businesses tend to last also through tougher periods. They are built with a solid structure on a real foundation in order to keep the above mentioned escapism at bay.

See also: On the Crisis of the West.

Monday, November 14, 2011

Digi Demo (2007)

From the old chest of drawers.


Released at the JazzMacx Tasmania Takeover in November 2007. Text by Vengeance, Jazzcat, Macx. In order to begin comprehending the context, read this.

Sunday, September 25, 2011

On the Crisis of the West

It has become commonplace to hear questions wondering why the current economic predicament occurs. What is wrong with the western world and how come Europe and America have such huge debts? It is no mystery whatsoever when looking at the bigger perspective.

The West has during the past century built up living standards never seen before, and has gone from trying to avoid starvation to consuming for pleasure. Under such circumstances, when the population does not have to worry at all where the next meal comes from, politics and economics become naive. As if they were tools for delight rather than dealing with what is realistically achievable. Many politicians dress in the clothes of Father Christmas and elections turn into contests of wishing and campaign promising. Somehow the marxist term alienation comes to mind when describing the entire spectacle.

What has happened during the past decades is that production and refining in large has moved to other parts of the planet. Meanwhile the West act as if nothing has happened, despite the fact that big revenue no longer is here. Many politicians naively argue that we should compete not with labour but with brains, as if they do not have universities with unpampered and very motivated students in India and China. In the interim, in order to satisfy the population and become re-elected, more public spending on loaned funds is prioritised.

Some primitive folk even argue that the West should go on a spending spree with cash we do not have, as they believe it would ease us out of the crisis in order to live happily ever after. Coming with such an analysis today sounds like the manic idea from someone out of the drugged generation of 1968. It has perhaps once or twice been less false than it is now, back when the West still owned the means of production and controlled the economy. But we are not discussing a regular slowdown of the economy this time. We are no longer the King of the Hill. It may come as a surprise to some, but we will need tough structural reforms where the welfare state is narrowed down to its important core in order to save just that core.

Two thirds of the population can not live either on benefits or work in the public sector if only one third is paying. Likewise the medicines and machinery I use in my profession every day, as a publicly funded physician, is not probable to become relatively cheaper when a much bigger and global crowd is demanding them. The fountain is not infinite. Do your maths. The social material for building a strong civil society, where we take care of one another and the important institutions of our civilisation, is not in the best of quality today. Not entirely a whining party of spoilt brats, but partly so. Nonetheless, it is what we have. The facts of life.

Parts of the welfare state are very good inventions indeed, and are part of a morally decent culture. But these undertakings does not come for free just because we regard ourselves worthy of them. Managing our society does not include living over our income, leaving a burden of debt for future generations. The shoulders of the giants we are standing upon require hard work.

There is no mystery, just lack of sobriety. Economic reality will demand sound future policies. Everything else is barbarism.
Johan Christian Dahl (1788-1857) Skibbrudd ved den norske kyst/Shipwreck on the Coast of Norway (Nasjonalgalleriet, Oslo).

Thursday, September 08, 2011

July 26th, 2011

Alma Elisabeth Forsberg-Gillving

Wednesday, August 03, 2011

Enduring impression defence against transience

Ever since I moved to the medieval parts of Old Town Odense some five years ago, I have been window shopping at the clock and watchmaker on Overgade close to where I live. Some years ago I purchased my 1950s Giroxa Swiss wrist watch there. However, what I have yearned for the most is this one, a first generation of European made alarm clocks from Junghans. It is from around the last turn of the century and when opening it in order to wind it up, it has the original printed paper label behind the pendulum. Owing to my family-in-law, congratulating me for becoming a medical doctor, it is now under my ownership.

Sunday, July 17, 2011

Six Suites for Unaccompanied Cello

Yo-Yo Ma performs No. 1 in G Major by Johann Sebastian Bach.

Thursday, April 07, 2011

Thus passes the glory of the world

Having seen it yet another time I can justly conclude that Gran Torino is the best film of the 21st century. Help us lord, when Clint Eastwood is gone.

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

Contemporary Beautiful

Watch these impressive non-c64 demos!

Many of us are old snorty conservative c64-sceners and have a hard time understanding what all the fuss is about concerning these more modern machines called Amiga, Atari ST, PC, Super Nintendo, Dreamcast, PSP and godknowswhat. Home computers such as VIC20, CBM PET, C128, C16, Plus/4 and perhaps ZX Spectrum seems more like it in our book, more so than those odd nonclassical devices anyway. In any case will this chapter ask the common Commodore 64 scener (although "common" obviously is an almost condescending adjective when used on us) to have a generous mind. As votesheets were handed out at the multiplatform event of Datastorm, the author of this chapter thought it be interesting to see what it is all about. Consider it suggestions of what can be interesting to investigate, when time is plenty enough to let Your c64 wait that is. If this chapter offends You to much, just return to the main menu and try and forget all about it. A special edition of this issue of VN, where this chapter has been removed, is available for those who find it necessary.

The Charts for Demos on Other Platforms but the C64:
01. LifeForce / Andromeda Software Development (PC)
02. Masagin (Nvision 08 Invitation) / Farbrausch & Neuro (PC)
03. Linger in Shadows / Plastic (PlayStation 3)
04. FR-41 "debris." / Farbrausch (PC)
05. Rupture / Andromeda Software Development (PC)
06. Wir Sind Einstein / United Force & Digital Dynamite (PC)
07. The Seeker / Still (PC)
08. Ocean Machine / The Black Lotus (Amiga AGA/Atari Falcon)
09. Stargazer / Andromeda & Orb (PC)
10. Media Error / CNCD & Fairlight & Orange (PC)
11. The Evolution of Vision / Andromeda Software Development (PC)
12. FR-043 "rove" / Farbrausch (PC)
13. Aura for Laura / Soopadoopa (PlayStation 2)
14. Agenda Circling Forth / Fairlight & CNCD (PC)
15. We Come In Peace / Elude (Amiga AGA)
16. Wrath / Matt Current (PC)
17. Route 1066 / UKScene Allstars (PC)

When coming from a c64 demoscene perspective and watch demos made on modern machinery one can sometimes feel bewildered and puzzled. However, the utter beauty of some Andromeda Software Development and Farbrausch productions would astonish just about all of us. LifeForce, Debris, Rupture, Masagin and Linger in Shadows are demos that I would, and will, suggest anyone to observe and contemplate. Anything else I would consider a sincere loss for that person. Seriously, those demos are brilliant.

Slightly modified excerpts from the original article I wrote for the disk magazine VN#55, published March 21st 2011.